Cubs Implications of the Competitive Balance Lottery

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July 18, 2013 by Ryan S

The competitive balance lottery results were announced today and here they are.

Six picks were awarded for the gap between the first and second rounds of the rule 4 draft (competitive balance round A) and were as follows:

  1. Rockies
  2. Orioles
  3. Indians
  4. Marlins
  5. Royals
  6. Brewers

The second round competitive balance picks (they follow the second round) are as follows:

  1. Padres
  2. Diamondbacks
  3. Cardinals
  4. Rays
  5. Pirates
  6. Mariners

First of all, let me give some background on the lottery.  It was introduced in the new CBA, and basically is there to try and give small market teams a chance at an extra high draft pick since big free agents are less likely to sign in small markets and they generally have smaller payrolls.

So how does this affect the Cubs?

The Brewers, Pirates and Cardinals all received picks, which could really suck a few years down the road.  Since they’re small market teams, they’re going to be in this lottery every year.  However, the picks are tradable.

But in terms of 2013, the Cubs are affected because the Rockies, Orioles, Indians, Diamondbacks, Rays and Pirates all got picks, and they could all be trade partners for the Cubs this summer.

So a first round competitive balance pick could definitely be included in a Matt Garza deal, although the prospect return would decrease a lot in that event.

And a second round competitive balance pick?  The Cubs might even be able to swing that for Kevin Gregg, which with one or two decent prospects thrown in there would be a very nice return.

The Pirates are known to be interested in Nate Schierholtz, and they have a second round lottery pick.  So could that be included in a deal?  I would hope so.

So there are obvious implications for the Cubs.  Short and long term.  Ideally, I would love to see the Cubs trade Gregg or Schierholtz for a second round lottery pick.

I think accepting one for Garza eliminates a lot of his value in terms of impact return prospects.  With that said, it could still be a good return.

That’s all for now, go Cubs!

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